4. Global Climates and Past Climate Change

Climate vs. Weather

Source: NOAA JetStream, noaa.gov/jetstream

Climate and weather both describe phenomena in the Earth’s atmosphere, but the basic difference between them is time.

Weather describes the atmospheric conditions at a specific point in time. It can be measured hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, or yearly.

Climate is the average or typical weather over a long period of time – a few years or more. Understanding climate can help us see patterns in the weather, such as what time of year or what locations different types of storm systems occur or what seasonal changes are typical. Unlike weather, climate changes slowly over years, centuries, or millenia.

Daily weather reports will often compare the daily observed maximum and minimum temperatures with the average for that day or week. These averages are the “climate normals”.

The National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI, formally NCDC) explains, “the climatic normal is simply the arithmetic average of the values over a 30-year period (generally, three consecutive decades).”

In other words, for a given day at a given location, weather values, including temperature, wind, rainfall, etc., are measured over a fixed number of years and averaged to determine the climatic normal weather for that day at that location.

The current set of climate normals is based upon observed weather from the years 1991 to 2020. In 2031, a new set of climate normals will be generated based upon the observed weather between 2001 and 2030.

These climatic normals help provide context for predictions such as “this winter will be wetter (or drier, or colder, or warmer, etc.) than normal” or “unseasonably warm (or cool).” These phrases are comparisons of current weather conditions to the climatic normal for that time.

Two photos of the same elevated roadway. The first shows high water just a few feet below the road surface. The second shows no water and reveals that there is actually another road passing under it that had been completely submerged.
2015 was an extraordinary year for rainfall in North Texas. This view is looking north across the Red River from Texas into Oklahoma after very heavy rains (top) and in a “normal” year (bottom).

A significant example is the all-time record rainfall for the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport in 2015.

Climate normal for rainfall in that area is 36.14″ (918 mm); the actual rainfall for the year was 62.61″ (1,590 mm). In only three months – May, October, and November – nearly a normal year’s worth of rain fell.

The annual rainfall for 2015 broke the old all-time record by over 9″ (229 mm). This was truly an extraordinary rain record that will stand for tens of decades if not centuries.

2015 was also a roller coaster year for the occurrence of rainfall in the DFW area, experiencing a stretch of 41 consecutive days with NO precipitation – the third longest number of rain-free days on record.

Not all deviations from the climate normals are as obvious as the above example.

During that same record-breaking year at the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport, on November 27, the average of the maximum and minimum temperature was 55°F (13°C). The normal for that day is 52°F (11°C). At first glance the temperature would appeare to be a “near normal” day.

However, while the maximum temperature for the day was 70°F (21°C), it occurred around 3 AM that morning, a very unusual time for a daily high temperature. Then, a strong cold front moved through and the temperature began to fall, dropping to a minimum temperature of 39°F (4°C) just prior to midnight.

The average temperature was near normal climate-wise, but that day was quite different weather-wise.

The important thing to understand is that large swings in weather day-to-day, month-to month, and even year-to-year do not necessarily imply large, rapid changes in climate. Weather, over time, will become part of the 30-year normal.

–end NOAA JetStream content–

 

The Climate System

The climate system is comprised of five natural components: atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, land surface, and biosphere. The atmosphere is the envelope of gases that surrounds Earth, including the naturally occurring greenhouse gases that warm the planet’s surface. The hydrosphere includes all of Earth’s liquid water and gaseous water (water vapor), whereas the cryosphere includes all frozen water (ice). Note that the cryosphere is technically part of the hydrosphere, but climate scientists usually treat it as a separate component of the climate system because its physical properties differ from those of water and water vapor. The land surface does not include water- or ice-covered surfaces but consists of all other vegetated and non-vegetated surfaces. The biosphere is the realm of life and is found in all other natural components, especially the hydrosphere and land surface. The biota is made up of and requires the presence of air, water, and mineral matter – that is, material from the atmosphere, hydrosphere, and land – to exist. Several external forces influence the five climate system components, with radiation from the Sun being most important. Climate scientists consider the impact of human activities on the climate system another example of external forcing.

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Geography of Weather, Climate, and Climate Change Copyright © 2020 by R. Adam Dastrup, MA, GISP and Tim Scharks, PhD is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License, except where otherwise noted.

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