FORTHCOMING – DRAFT CHAPTER OUTLINE

1. Inference to the Best Explanation [IBE]
   1. Types of Explanation
   2. Formal Structure of IBE
   3. Criteria of Adequacy
   4. T.E.S.T. Method
      1. PRACTICE: Assessing Conspiracy Theories
2. The Problem of Induction
   1. Problems with IBE
   2. Russell’s Expectation of Cause
   3. Hume’s Dilemma
   4. Chalmer’s Probabilistic Reformulation
   5. PRACTICE
3. Probabilistic Reasoning
   1. Theories of Probability
   2. Gambler’s Fallacy
   3. Simpson’s Paradox
      1. PRACTICE