Chapter 6. Causal Reasoning and Explanations
Summary
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The Nature of Causation: We explore the philosophical shift from David Hume’s “constant conjunction” (observing one thing after another) to Wesley Salmon’s mechanistic processes (the physical “how”).
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Conditions of Occurrence: We define the logical tools of Necessity (the requirement) and Sufficiency (the guarantee) to move beyond vague “A caused B” statements.
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Aristotle’s Explanatory Framework: We look at the Four Causes (Material, Formal, Efficient, and Final) to understand why things exist and how they function.
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Mill’s Methods: We apply John Stuart Mill’s five inductive techniques—Agreement, Difference, Joint, Concomitant Variation, and Residues—to isolate causes in scientific and everyday settings.
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Causal Fallacies: We unmask the common errors that lead to superstition and misinformation, including the Post Hoc fallacy and the pervasive confusion between Correlation and Causation.
Key Terms
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Causal Argument: An inductive argument whose conclusion is a causal claim (stating that one event or state of affairs brings about another).
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Necessary Condition: A circumstance in whose absence the event cannot occur (e.g., oxygen is necessary for fire).
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Sufficient Condition: A circumstance in whose presence the event must occur (e.g., decapitation is sufficient for death).
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Material Cause: The physical substrate or “stuff” that constitutes an object (e.g., the marble of a statue).
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Formal Cause: The pattern, structure, or “blueprint” of a thing (e.g., the shape of the statue).
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Efficient Cause: The primary source of change or the “trigger” (e.g., the sculptor’s work).
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Final Cause (Teleology): The purpose, goal, or “end” for which a thing exists (e.g., to honor a hero).
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Method of Agreement: Finding the one common factor across different cases to identify a necessary condition.
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Method of Difference: Comparing two cases that differ in only one factor to identify a sufficient condition.
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Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc: The fallacy of assuming that because Event B followed Event A, A must have caused B.
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Correlation: A statistical relationship where two variables move together, which does not necessarily imply that one causes the other.
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INUS Condition: An Insufficient but Non-redundant part of an Unnecessary but Sufficient condition (explaining how complex webs of events cause an effect).